BAI: Kz 100,500 ▲ 5.8% | BFA: Kz 118,000 ▲ 138.4% | USD/AOA: 914.60 ▲ 0.2% | Oil (Brent): $74.50 ▲ 3.2% | Gold: $2,920 ▲ 12.1% | BT 91d Yield: 14.8% | Inflation: 15.7% YoY | BNA Rate: 17.5% | BAI: Kz 100,500 ▲ 5.8% | BFA: Kz 118,000 ▲ 138.4% | USD/AOA: 914.60 ▲ 0.2% | Oil (Brent): $74.50 ▲ 3.2% | Gold: $2,920 ▲ 12.1% | BT 91d Yield: 14.8% | Inflation: 15.7% YoY | BNA Rate: 17.5% |
Company

TotalEnergies in Angola

TotalEnergies in Angola — company in Angola's capital markets.

Overview

TotalEnergies is the largest international oil company (IOC) operating in Angola, accounting for an estimated 35-40% of the country’s total petroleum production of approximately 1.03 million barrels per day. The French energy major has been present in Angola since the 1950s and operates some of the most technically advanced deepwater developments in sub-Saharan Africa. TotalEnergies’ investment decisions and production trajectory are among the single most important variables for Angola’s fiscal outlook and sovereign credit profile.

Operational Portfolio

TotalEnergies operates and holds interests across multiple Angolan offshore concessions:

Block Role Key Developments Water Depth
Block 17 Operator Girassol, Dalia, CLOV, Pazflor, Kaombo Ultra-deepwater (1,200-1,500m)
Block 20 Operator Cameia discovery Deepwater pre-salt
Block 32 Operator Kaombo satellite; exploration Ultra-deepwater
Block 14 Non-operating Chevron-operated Deepwater
Angola LNG 13.6% stake 5.2 mtpa LNG plant in Soyo Onshore

Block 17: Angola’s Crown Jewel

Block 17, located approximately 150 kilometers offshore Luanda in water depths of 1,200-1,500 meters, has been Angola’s highest-producing concession for over a decade. The block’s development history represents one of the most successful deepwater campaigns globally:

  • Girassol (2001): Angola’s first deepwater FPSO, pioneering ultra-deepwater production in West Africa
  • Dalia (2006): Major FPSO development in the deeper sections of Block 17
  • Pazflor (2011): Innovative multi-layer production system
  • CLOV (2014): Multi-field development (Cravo, Lirio, Orquídea, Violeta)
  • Kaombo (2018-2019): Two FPSO vessels with combined capacity of 230,000 bpd

The cumulative investment in Block 17 exceeds tens of billions of dollars, making it one of the most capital-intensive petroleum developments in Africa.

Production and Revenue Contribution

TotalEnergies’ 35-40% share of Angola’s production translates into:

Metric Implication
Fiscal revenue Largest single contributor of petroleum tax and production-sharing income to MINFIN
FX supply Major generator of USD export proceeds supporting BNA reserves ($15.3 billion)
Employment One of the largest private sector employers in Angola (directly and through contractors)
Angolanização Major contributor to workforce nationalization and local content programmes

With oil accounting for 50-60% of government revenue and over 90% of exports, TotalEnergies’ production levels are effectively a line item in Angola’s national budget.

New Developments

TotalEnergies continues to invest in Angola’s upstream future:

  • Block 17 infill and satellite developments: Extending production life from existing infrastructure through additional wells and tie-backs
  • Block 20 (Cameia): Pre-salt exploration with significant potential, analogous to Brazil’s prolific pre-salt plays across the South Atlantic
  • Block 32: Further exploration and appraisal activity

These investments are critical for sustaining Angola’s production plateau as mature fields decline, particularly on blocks operated by ExxonMobil (Block 15) and Chevron (Block 0).

Capital Markets Relevance

TotalEnergies’ Angola operations have first-order implications for every investable asset class in the country:

  • Sovereign debt: The company’s production and investment trajectory directly determines the government’s fiscal revenue, debt sustainability (debt-to-GDP at 59.9%), and ability to service Treasury bonds and Treasury bills
  • Currency: TotalEnergies’ oil export proceeds are the single largest source of FX supply in the market (USD/AOA at 914.60)
  • Sovereign credit: Ratings agencies (S&P B- / Moody’s B3 / Fitch B-) explicitly incorporate production outlook into their Angola assessments
  • Bank equities: The oil sector’s health affects the corporate loan book quality of BAI, BFA, and other BODIVA-listed banks

Investor Considerations

TotalEnergies’ annual strategy updates and Angola-specific capital expenditure guidance are essential reading for any investor in Angolan assets. Key variables include: Block 17 decline rates and infill investment, Block 20 exploration results, Brent crude pricing (~$74.50/bbl), and the company’s global portfolio allocation decisions that determine how much capital is directed to Angola versus competing opportunities. Angola’s OPEC exit in January 2024 allows TotalEnergies to produce without quota constraints, and the company’s post-exit production optimization decisions will shape Angola’s oil output trajectory for the remainder of the decade.

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